The Chiefs beat the 49ers in overtime to win Super Bowl LVIII.
Is it too early to start looking ahead to Super Bowl LVIX being held in New Orleans? Never. The San Francisco 49ers are Super Bowl favorites at +500 at BetMGM, despite losing to the Kansas City Chiefs (+700 to repeat) in Super Bowl 58. Baltimore Ravens (+850), Buffalo Bills (+1200) and the Detroit Lions (+1200) have the best odds.
Of course, the Chiefs remain one of the favorites to win the AFC. It’s assumed that general manager Brett Veach will do everything in his power to find help for Patrick Mahomes after the offense struggled for most of the regular season.
Along with the Chiefs, the Ravens, Bills and Bengals are the favorites in the AFC. The Jets now have worse odds (+3,000) than this time last season (+2,500), and that was before they even acquired Aaron Rodgers from Green Bay, although rumors were already circulating that which Rodgers wanted to leave Wisconsin and enter. the Big Apple.
Among teams with new head coaches, the Los Angeles Chargers (+2500) have the best odds with new coach Jim Harbaugh. Los Angeles is $45 million over the salary cap for next season, according to OverTheCap.com.
If you’re looking for teams capable of making a splash in free agency, the Commanders, Titans, Patriots, Bengals and Colts currently have the largest salary cap space.
Detroit (+1200) completed its 180th turn from lovable underdog to now NFC favorite. Dallas and Philadelphia still lead their respective conferences, but there will be changes for both teams this offseason. Dallas lost defensive coordinator Dan Quinn to Washington and Philadelphia hired Kellen Moore as its new offensive coordinator and Vic Fangio to run its defense.
The Carolina Panthers, Tennessee Titans and New England Patriots all have the worst odds of winning the Super Bowl. All three teams will have new coaches next year.
Betting on such distant favorites is probably not a good betting strategy. Consider that the Chiefs had worse odds of making the playoffs this year (+1,000) than after last year’s Super Bowl victory (+600).
Super Bowl 59 Odds (@BetMGM)
To help understand where these teams could go this offseason, especially when it comes to expectations, we checked in with our beat writers to gauge their view of the teams ahead of the offseason.
Super Bowl 2025 odds: Texans, Eagles, Falcons see biggest swings from last preseason
Detroit Lions +1200
The Lions have the fifth-best Super Bowl odds in 2024, and that seems about right. In their first playoff series together, with the fifth-youngest team in the NFL, the Lions reached the NFC Championship Game and held a 24-7 lead. If they had made the plays necessary to win the game, it would have been them in Las Vegas hoping to hoist the Lombardi. Instead, they will use a disappointing loss as motivation and work to get there next season. Detroit’s top talents – Penei Sewell, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Aidan Hutchinson, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs, etc. – should only improve with age. Quarterback Jared Goff has now taken two teams to the NFC Championship games and is coming off another good season. Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is back for another year, once again turning down head coaching opportunities. And the Lions will look to improve a secondary that needs an influx of talent. Detroit’s schedule and division look tougher on paper, but given all of the Lions’ strengths, they’re well-positioned for another deep playoff run. —Colton Pouncy, Lions writer
New York Jets +3000
The Jets, as much as any team on this list, have the ability to swing wildly in both directions. It’s the Aaron Rodgers factor. The Jets have a lot of holes to fill on offense (offensive line, wide receiver) and issues to overcome (offensive coordinator) but ultimately how far the Jets go (or not) depends largely on the version of Rodgers they get. He’ll be 41 this season and is coming off Achilles surgery, so it’s fair to be skeptical that the Jets will make any noise – but they still have one of the best defenses in the NFL, which will remain essentially intact, and will bring back two stars on offense. to Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. —Zack Rosenblatt, Jets writer
Green Bay Packers +2500
I’m surprised the Packers’ chances are this long, considering how they finished the 2023 season. After starting 3-6, they reached the playoffs, dismantled the Cowboys in the wild-card round. cards and gave the 49ers a fight in the divisional round. In his first season as a full-time starting quarterback, Jordan Love showed why he can be Green Bay’s guy for the next decade-plus, and most of its supporting cast, on an offense that has thrived in the second half of the season. , will return in 2024. The big questions lie in the other two phases. Can the Packers turn around their kicking game (pun intended) and can new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley maximize the talent on his side of the ball in a way Joe Barry couldn’t? If Green Bay can do both, there’s no reason why the Packers shouldn’t be in contention to bring home the Lombardi Trophy. —Matt Schneidman, Packers writer
To consider the Dolphins serious Super Bowl contenders, they need to beat teams at the same level as them or better on a semi-consistent basis. That didn’t happen in 2023, with just one win coming against a team that finished with a winning record – the Dallas Cowboys in Week 16. The 2024 schedule will also be tougher, taking on the AFC South, the NFC West and the Packers outside of Miami. AFC East opponents.
Tua Tagovailoa will now enter the final year of his rookie contract in 2024. Will Miami deal with their quarterback before Week 1? Additionally, you have to wonder if the defense can come together after numerous injuries, including that of Edge Rusher, which took its toll late in the 2023 campaign. Then you have to wonder if the Dolphins are the best or even the second-best team in the AFC East with the Bills as the defending champions and Aaron Rodgers poised to take more than a handful of snaps at QB like last year’s injury-plagued season. —Larry Holder, NFL Senior Writer
You know the Texans will be one of the sexiest bets heading into the 2024 season – two of the best young players playing premium positions in quarterback CJ Stroud and edge rusher Will Anderson. Add in budding star coach DeMeco Ryans and an improving roster, and Houston has all the makings of a team ready to take the next step.
Now, the Texans won’t face a low-level schedule this season after winning the AFC South. So they’ll see the Chiefs, Ravens and Bills, as well as the AFC East and NFC North join their AFC South roster – returning healthy NFL draftee mate Anthony Richardson back for the Colts. But the Texans seemed to hold their own against every opponent during the 2023 regular season before falling to the Ravens in the AFC Divisional Round. I expect the Texans to improve in 2024 and Stroud to only improve after one of the strongest rookie QB campaigns in recent memory. If it happens, you never know… —Holder
(Top photo: Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
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